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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
39.56% ( 0.01) | 25.04% ( -0.09) | 35.41% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 57.48% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.04% ( 0.43) | 45.96% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.74% ( 0.41) | 68.27% ( -0.4) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( 0.2) | 23.06% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.11% ( 0.29) | 56.89% ( -0.28) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( 0.25) | 25.29% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% ( 0.34) | 60.06% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 39.56% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |