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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
18 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 27 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 14.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
14.9% ( -0.09) | 20.13% ( -0.03) | 64.97% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.18% ( -0.05) | 43.82% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.79% ( -0.05) | 66.2% ( 0.04) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.15% ( -0.15) | 41.85% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.69% ( -0.13) | 78.31% ( 0.12) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.29% ( 0.01) | 12.71% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.07% ( 0.04) | 38.93% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
1-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.9% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.13% | 0-2 @ 11.31% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.78% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-4 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 64.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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