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Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
May 11, 2022 at 7pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
PEC Zwolle

Sparta
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Auassar (3'), van Crooij (24')
Abels (57'), Thy (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Clement (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 PEC Zwolle

Given the stakes of the game, we expect a thrilling contest with both sides going all out in search of the win. However, we predict they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawPEC Zwolle
43.83% (0.942 0.94) 25.31% (-0.303 -0.3) 30.85% (-0.643 -0.64)
Both teams to score 55.1% (0.711 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.58% (1.053 1.05)48.41% (-1.057 -1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (0.953 0.95)70.55% (-0.95699999999999 -0.96)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (0.898 0.9)22.05% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.6% (1.341 1.34)55.39% (-1.346 -1.35)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (0.094000000000008 0.09)29.31% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (0.119 0.12)65.28% (-0.123 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 43.83%
    PEC Zwolle 30.85%
    Draw 25.31%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.118 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.178 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.83%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.329 -0.33)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.87% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.85%

How you voted: Sparta vs PEC Zwolle

Sparta Rotterdam
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
PEC Zwolle
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Sparta
Redan (8')
Huiberts (56')
Van Crooij (1')
Smeets (81'), Goudmijn (88')
Apr 3, 2021 8pm
Sparta
3-2
PEC Zwolle
Pinto (7'), Thy (75' pen., 90+3')
Beugelsdijk (26')
Van Polen (52'), Tedic (63')
Reijnders (57')
Sep 26, 2020 3.30pm
PEC Zwolle
4-0
Sparta
Ghoochannejhad (45+5' pen., 47'), Leemans (54'), Nakayama (71')
Nakayama (33')

Auassar (45+2')
Pinto (45+4')
Apr 21, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 25, 2019 3.45pm
PEC Zwolle
2-2
Sparta
Bel Hassani (9'), Thy (56')
Clement (45'), Dekker (51')
Ache (8'), Veldwijk (81')
Vriends (23'), Auassar (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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