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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
14.56% | 18.53% | 66.91% |
Both teams to score 55.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.9% | 37.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.7% | 59.3% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.9% | 38.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.13% | 74.87% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.75% | 10.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.41% | 33.6% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 4.14% 1-0 @ 3.77% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.56% | 1-1 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.72% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.53% | 0-2 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 8.9% 0-3 @ 7.7% 1-3 @ 7.43% 0-4 @ 4.38% 1-4 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.58% 2-4 @ 2.04% 0-5 @ 2% 1-5 @ 1.93% 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.9% Total : 66.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |