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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
59.08% | 21.45% | 19.47% |
Both teams to score 55.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.29% | 41.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.88% | 64.11% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.21% | 13.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.89% | 41.11% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.86% | 35.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.11% | 71.89% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 9.51% 3-1 @ 6.57% 3-0 @ 6.28% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 3.25% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.15% Total : 59.08% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 5.2% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-1 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |