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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Milan logo

Spezia
1 - 2
AC Milan

Verde (80')
Sala (25'), Nikolaou (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maldini (48'), Diaz (86')
Maldini (58'), Hernandez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawAC Milan
21.38%21.98%56.63%
Both teams to score 57.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.55%41.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.15%63.85%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91%33.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31%69.69%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53%14.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.56%42.43%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 21.39%
    AC Milan 56.63%
    Draw 21.98%
SpeziaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 5.66%
1-0 @ 5.29%
2-0 @ 2.93%
3-1 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 21.39%
1-1 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 5.47%
0-0 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-1 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 8.95%
1-3 @ 6.38%
0-3 @ 5.77%
2-3 @ 3.53%
1-4 @ 3.08%
0-4 @ 2.79%
2-4 @ 1.7%
1-5 @ 1.19%
0-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 56.63%

How you voted: Spezia vs AC Milan

Spezia
5.8%
Draw
9.1%
AC Milan
85.1%
121
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Spezia
2-0
AC Milan
Maggiore (56'), Bastoni (67')
Vignali (23'), Bastoni (25'), Erlic (58')

Dalot (65')
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
3-0
Spezia
Leao (57', 78'), Hernandez (76')
Calhanoglu (47')

Ricci (32'), Gyasi (40')
Jan 15, 2014 5pm
Round Five
AC Milan
3-1
Spezia
Robinho (28'), Pazzini (31'), Honda (47')
Honda (18'), Mexes (44')
Ferrari (90')
Catellani (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus351812548272166
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio361851347371059
8Napoli361312115346751
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
16FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
17Empoli3688202652-2632
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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