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Espanyol logo
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Jun 28, 2020 at 9pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Real Madrid logo

Espanyol
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Pedrosa (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Casemiro (45')
Junior (87')

Preview: Espanyol vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Real Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Real Madrid will be looking to make it five La Liga victories in a row when they travel to the RCDE Stadium to face relegation-threatened Espanyol on Sunday night.

Los Blancos are currently top of the table, although Barcelona will have the chance to return to the summit when they face Celta Vigo on Saturday afternoon. Espanyol, meanwhile, are at the bottom of the division, eight points from safety with just seven games left.


Match preview

Espanyol midfielder Marc Roca pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Espanyol have not played outside of Spain's top flight since the 1993-94 campaign, but the Catalan outfit are in serious danger of dropping into the Segunda Division for the 2020-21 season.

Indeed, a total of 24 points from 31 matches has left them rock bottom of the table, eight points from the safety of 17th, which is a concern at this relatively late stage of the campaign.

The Catalan outfit have only won five of their 31 league fixtures this term, while they will enter this weekend's match off the back of successive defeats to Levante and Real Betis.

The fact that Espanyol will face Real Sociedad and Barcelona in two of their next three matches after Sunday's clash makes it even more unlikely that they will be able to escape the bottom three.

A positive result against Madrid could kickstart their survival bid, though, and it is shaping up to be a fascinating evening of football at the RCDE Stadium.

Sergio Ramos celebrates scoring Real Madrid's second on June 24, 2020© Reuters

Los Blancos, meanwhile, have been in excellent form since returning to action on June 14, putting four straight wins on the board against Eibar, Valencia, Sociedad and Mallorca.

Zinedine Zidane's side are currently top of the division, although they are level on points with Barcelona, who will have the chance to return to the summit when they face Celta on Saturday afternoon.

Madrid have only lost three of their 31 league matches this season, while they have the best defensive record with just 21 conceded, which is an indication of their strength this term.

There is an argument that the capital side have an easier run-in than Barcelona, and another victory in this game would lead them nicely into their next clash with Getafe on July 2.

Madrid have won their last three La Liga matches against Espanyol, but they suffered a 1-0 loss when they travelled to the Catalan side during the 2017-18 campaign.

Espanyol La Liga form: DLWDLL

Real Madrid La Liga form: WLWWWW


Team News

Real Madrid's Nacho celebrates scoring their first goal with Luka Modric on January 26, 2020© Reuters

Espanyol will be without the services of Sebastien Corchia through injury, but Leandro Cabrera and Bernardo Espinosa are both back from suspensions and should start at the heart of the defence.

Head coach Abelardo Fernandez is expected to make changes from the side that lost at Betis last time out, with Wu Lei, Raul de Tomas and Oscar Melendo set to return to the starting XI.

David Lopez played in central defence against Betis but could be pushed forward into midfield, while Marc Roca, who continues to be linked with a summer exit, will also feature for the home side.

As for Madrid, Luka Jovic, Lucas Vazquez and Nacho are still on the sidelines through injury, while Ferland Mendy and Luka Modric are suspended due to the bookings that they picked up against Mallorca.

Marcelo will replace Mendy at left-back, while Casemiro is available following a one-game ban and is likely to feature alongside Toni Kroos and Federico Valverde in midfield.

Gareth Bale started against Mallorca, but the Wales international could drop out of the XI for this match, with Vinicius Junior and Eden Hazard joining Karim Benzema as part of a front three.

Marco Asensio is also in contention to start, although its seems more likely that the Spain international will continue his recovery from a long-term knee injury off the bench.

Espanyol possible starting lineup:
Diego Lopez; J Lopez, Espinosa, Cabrera, Vila; Melendo, David Lopez, Roca, Darder; Wu Lei, De Tomas

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Carvajal, Varane, Ramos, Marcelo; Kroos, Casemiro, Valverde; Hazard, Benzema, Vinicius


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Espanyol 0-2 Real Madrid

Espanyol are in desperate need of a positive result, but Madrid are on a roll at the moment, and we are finding it very difficult to back against Zidane's side. In truth, we fancy a comfortable victory for the visitors, who might need a win to return to the summit depending on Barca's result against Celta.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Villarreal35139135960-148
9Valencia34138133739-247
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
17Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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