Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
63.84% ( 0.01) | 20.13% ( 0.01) | 16.03% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.45% ( -0.08) | 41.54% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.05% ( -0.08) | 63.94% ( 0.08) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.65% ( -0.02) | 12.34% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.83% ( -0.04) | 38.16% ( 0.04) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.04% ( -0.07) | 38.96% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.31% ( -0.07) | 75.68% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 63.83% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.13% | 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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