Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
We said: SC Farense 2-2 Rio Ave
The last four meetings between Farense and Rio Ave has produced a combined 15 goals and we anticipate another end-to-end affair at the Estadio de Sao Luis this weekend. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.05% . A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.3%) . The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result SC Farense Draw Rio Ave 32.36% ( -0.68) 26.58% ( -0.34) 41.05% ( 1.02)
Both teams to score 51.6% ( 0.86)
46.78% ( 1.18) 53.22% ( -1.18)
25.22% ( 0.99) 74.78% ( -0.99)
69.3% ( 0.14) 30.7% ( -0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.04% ( 0.17) 66.96% ( -0.16)
74.46% ( 1.09) 25.54% ( -1.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.6% ( 1.46) 60.41% ( -1.46)
SC Farense 32.36%
Rio Ave 41.05%
Draw 26.58%
SC Farense Draw Rio Ave 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.36% 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% 0-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.05%
How you voted: Farense vs Rio Ave
38
rhs 2.0
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