Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw has a probability of 20.2% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (4.76%).
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Casa Pia |
66.48% ( -0.18) | 20.18% ( 0.08) | 13.34% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 46.54% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.68% ( -0.12) | 47.32% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.46% ( -0.11) | 69.54% ( 0.1) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.66% ( -0.09) | 13.34% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.78% ( -0.18) | 40.21% ( 0.18) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.7% ( 0.08) | 46.3% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.05% ( 0.06) | 81.95% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Casa Pia |
2-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 66.48% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.18% | 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |