Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.37% ( 0.13) | 28.26% ( 0.03) | 42.37% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 45.52% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.64% ( -0.05) | 60.36% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.49% ( -0.03) | 80.51% ( 0.04) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.37% ( 0.07) | 36.63% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.58% ( 0.07) | 73.42% ( -0.07) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( -0.1) | 28.17% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.15% ( -0.13) | 63.85% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 29.37% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 42.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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