MX23RW : Friday, May 17 15:50:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Porto

Guimaraes
0 - 1
Porto


Janvier (17'), Silva (57'), Luz (71'), Safira (87'), Amaro (90'), Nogueira (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mario (45+2')
Otavio (35'), Pepe (41'), Wendell (47'), Marcano (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 4-1 Famalicao
Sunday, January 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-3 Porto

After accumulating 11 victories in 16 Primeira Liga matches this season, we can envision Porto culminating an end-to-end 90 minutes with a 12th success under their footballing belt come Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
14.09% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09) 20.82% (-0.102 -0.1) 65.09% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 46.52% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.227 0.23)48.41% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (0.207 0.21)70.55% (-0.206 -0.21)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.41% (0.00099999999999767 0)81.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.9% (0.134 0.13)14.1% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.28% (0.26 0.26)41.72% (-0.259 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 14.09%
    Porto 65.09%
    Draw 20.82%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.04% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.09%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 20.82%
0-1 @ 12.66% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 12.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 8.1% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.32% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.97% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.09% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.012 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.55% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 65.09%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Porto

Vitoria de Guimaraes
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Porto
81.8%
33
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto

Estupinan (12'), Janvier (73'), Esteves (88'), Duarte (90+8'), Rochinha (90+8')
Estupinan (80')
Taremi (36' pen.)
Otavio (30'), Costa (90+2')
Nov 28, 2021 8.30pm
Porto
2-1
Guimaraes
Diaz (39'), Evanilson (60')
Sanusi (34'), Oliveira (45+4'), Wendell (80')
Edwards (36' pen.)
Amaro (11'), Handel (42'), Mumin (45+3'), Sacko (79'), Semedo (85')
Mumin (53')
Apr 22, 2021 9pm
Dec 29, 2020 9pm
Guimaraes
2-3
Porto
Rochinha (7'), Estupinan (63')
Mensah (15'), Pepelu (26')
Taremi (42', 65'), Diaz (80')
Baro (12')
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
Guimaraes
1-2
Porto
Duarte (49')
Jesus (10' og.), Marega (60')
Luis (44'), Marega (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!