Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Porto in this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
64.53% | 21.05% | 14.42% |
Both teams to score 46.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.33% | 48.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.22% | 70.78% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.64% | 14.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.78% | 42.22% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.5% | 45.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.67% | 81.33% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.67% 2-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-0 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.38% Total : 64.52% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.05% | 0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 2.03% 1-3 @ 1.03% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.29% Total : 14.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |