Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
53.74% | 23.88% | 22.37% |
Both teams to score 52.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.42% | 48.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.3% | 70.7% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.01% | 17.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.14% | 48.86% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.83% | 36.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.05% | 72.95% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.57% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.74% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 6.62% 1-2 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |