MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 19:11:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Moreirense

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Moreirense

Silva (68')
Mendes (20'), Mangas (43'), Silva (53'), Ribeiro (70'), Santos (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alan (35'), Ofori (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Moreirense

With just eight games to go, Vitoria de Guimaraes know that they cannot afford any slip-ups if they are to secure a top-four finish. Pacheco's men have hit their stride in recent weeks and we fancy them to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
50.95% (-0.058 -0.06) 25.61% (0.026 0.03) 23.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)54.36% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)75.74% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)21.37% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)54.35% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)38.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.86% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)75.14% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.94%
    Moreirense 23.45%
    Draw 25.61%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 50.94%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 23.45%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 10
Moreirense
1-0
Guimaraes
Luis (76')
Alan (41')

Handel (55'), Ribeiro (75')
Apr 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Moreirense
0-1
Guimaraes

Yan (45+2'), Pacheco (90+5')
Rochinha (62')
Estupinan (23'), Semedo (36'), Rochinha (45+2'), Bamba (88'), Silva (90+4')
Nov 6, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Guimaraes
2-1
Moreirense
Edwards (19'), Duarte (85')
Rochinha (29'), Estupinan (35')
Pires (88')
Camara (42')
Apr 30, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 30
Guimaraes
2-0
Moreirense
Amaro (26'), Almeida (30')
Silvio (40'), Amaro (53'), Duarte (76')

Pacheco (42')
Jan 9, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 13
Moreirense
2-2
Guimaraes
Pires (15'), Soares (70')
Pacheco (87'), D'Alberto (90+2')
Edwards (20'), Andre (68')
Quaresma (65'), Fernandes (86'), Mumin (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
11Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
12Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
13SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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