Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Boavista |
38.34% ( -0.02) | 26.54% ( -0) | 35.12% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.32% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.44% ( 0.01) | 52.56% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.78% ( 0) | 74.22% ( -0) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.29% ( -0.01) | 26.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.03% ( -0.01) | 61.97% ( 0.02) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.39% ( 0.02) | 28.61% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.59% ( 0.02) | 64.41% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.64% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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