Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
62.06% ( 0.32) | 20.3% ( -0.27) | 17.64% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.49% ( 0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.68% ( 1.16) | 39.32% ( -1.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.34% ( 1.2) | 61.66% ( -1.2) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.83% ( 0.45) | 12.17% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.2% ( 0.94) | 37.79% ( -0.94) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.31% ( 0.63) | 35.68% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.54% ( 0.65) | 72.45% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.86% Total : 62.06% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 17.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |