Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
66.1% | 20.04% | 13.86% |
Both teams to score 48.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.39% | 45.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.06% | 67.94% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.07% | 12.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.62% | 39.38% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.54% | 44.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.51% | 80.49% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 12.02% 1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 6.65% 4-0 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-0 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.94% Total : 66.09% | 1-1 @ 9.53% 0-0 @ 5.75% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.04% | 0-1 @ 4.66% 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-2 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.07% 1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.33% Total : 13.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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