Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Caen.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bastia | Draw | Caen |
35.85% ( 0) | 28.14% ( -0) | 36.02% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 47.39% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.25% ( 0) | 58.75% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.73% | 79.28% ( -0) |
Bastia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.79% ( 0) | 31.21% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.45% ( 0) | 67.55% ( -0) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.9% ( -0) | 31.1% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( -0) | 67.43% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Bastia 35.84%
Caen 36.01%
Draw 28.13%
Bastia | Draw | Caen |
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 3% Total : 35.84% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 11.33% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.01% |
How you voted: Bastia vs Caen
Bastia
14.3%Draw
42.9%Caen
42.9%7
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 8pm
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Caen
2-1
Bastia
Sep 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Bastia
1-1
Caen
Santelli (13')
Bocognano (79'), Quemper (89')
Bocognano (79'), Quemper (89')
Mendy (90+1' pen.)
Wadja (71')
Wadja (71')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auxerre | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 71 |
2 | Angers | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 67 |
3 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 65 |
4 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 58 |
5 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 60 | 51 | 9 | 57 |
6 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 55 |
7 | Laval | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 52 |
8 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 51 |
9 | PauPau | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 51 |
10 | Grenoble | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 51 |
11 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 50 |
12 | Bastia | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 49 |
13 | Bordeaux | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 47 |
14 | Ajaccio | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 46 |
15 | Annecy | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 45 |
16 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 45 |
17 | Troyes | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 40 |
18 | Concarneau | 37 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 38 |
19 | Quevilly | 37 | 6 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 35 |
20 | Valenciennes | 36 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 26 |
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