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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Bayern logo

Frankfurt
1 - 6
Bayern

Kolo (64')
N'Dicka (59'), Kostic (71')
FT(HT: 0-5)
Kimmich (5'), Pavard (11'), Mane (29'), Musiala (35', 83'), Gnabry (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 Bayern Munich

Frankfurt will almost certainly improve on last season's 11th-placed finish and should provide Bayern with a stern opening day test. However, the champions looked irrepressible in attack against Leipzig last weekend, and may have too much firepower on the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 70.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-3 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayern Munich
12.9% (-1.79 -1.79) 16.82% (-0.905 -0.9) 70.28% (2.696 2.7)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-1.767 -1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (0.14200000000001 0.14)32.66% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.67% (0.165 0.16)54.33% (-0.164 -0.16)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (-2.37 -2.37)37.51% (2.371 2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71% (-2.4 -2.4)74.29% (2.401 2.4)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.7% (0.627 0.63)8.3% (-0.6259 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.04% (1.538 1.54)28.96% (-1.536 -1.54)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 12.9%
    Bayern Munich 70.28%
    Draw 16.82%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.73% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-0 @ 3.05% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 1.5% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 1.22% (-0.227 -0.23)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 12.9%
1-1 @ 7.6% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.371 -0.37)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.82%
0-2 @ 9.64% (0.487 0.49)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 8% (0.626 0.63)
1-3 @ 7.84% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.17 0.17)
0-4 @ 4.98% (0.524 0.52)
1-4 @ 4.88% (0.223 0.22)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-5 @ 2.48% (0.326 0.33)
1-5 @ 2.43% (0.178 0.18)
2-4 @ 2.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-5 @ 1.19% (0.014 0.01)
0-6 @ 1.03% (0.161 0.16)
1-6 @ 1.01% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 70.28%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Bayern

Eintracht Frankfurt
11.6%
Draw
10.3%
Bayern Munich
78.0%
232
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 5.30pm
Oct 3, 2021 4.30pm
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Frankfurt
2-1
Bayern
Kamada (12'), Younes (31')
Rode (56'), N'Dicka (90+2')
Lewandowski (53')
Flick (61')
Oct 24, 2020 2.30pm
Bayern
5-0
Frankfurt
Lewandowski (10', 26', 60'), Sane (72'), Musiala (90')
Goretzka (17'), Boateng (45+2'), Kimmich (46')
Jun 10, 2020 7.45pm
Bayern
2-1
Frankfurt
Perisic (14'), Lewandowski (74')
Perisic (44'), Hernandez (90+3')
Da Costa (69')
Silva (88'), Hinteregger (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Stuttgart33224774393570
3Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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