Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium
Mali2 - 1Burkina Faso
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Mali
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Last Game: Angola 2-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
We said: Mali 1-0 Burkina Faso
We anticipate a closely-fought contest between these two teams, but Mali are likely to prevail in the end. The Eagles have demonstrated their defensive solidity, which is often a decisive factor in tournament football. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Burkina Faso |
61.1% ( -0.05) | 23.66% ( 0.14) | 15.25% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 41.27% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
