Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Newcastle1 - 0Burnley
We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Burnley
Finding the back of the net has never been a problem for this Newcastle side, and failure to beat Burnley on their own patch would certainly spell danger for the rest of the season. The Clarets have developed a resilient streak of old in recent weeks, but we are backing Newcastle's talented attack to finally fire them to a first win of the 2021-22 campaign here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (12.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Burnley |
| 37% | 29.68% | 33.32% |
| Both teams to score 42.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
