Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Newcastle United |
49.78% | 27.04% | 23.18% |
Both teams to score 44.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.35% | 59.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.03% | 79.97% |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% | 24.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.57% | 58.43% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.37% | 41.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.89% | 78.11% |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 14.27% 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.36% Total : 49.77% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.14% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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