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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Newcastle logo

Brighton
1 - 1
Newcastle

Trossard (24' pen.)
Lallana (75'), Bissouma (84'), Maupay (84')
Sanchez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hayden (66')
Lascelles (12'), Murphy (60'), Shelvey (69'), Wilson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
49.78%27.04%23.18%
Both teams to score 44.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.35%59.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.03%79.97%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88%24.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57%58.43%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37%41.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89%78.11%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 49.77%
    Newcastle United 23.18%
    Draw 27.03%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 14.27%
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.14%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Brighton vs Newcastle

Brighton & Hove Albion
76.9%
Draw
13.8%
Newcastle United
9.2%
195
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 8pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 2
Newcastle
0-3
Brighton

Shelvey (12'), Lewis (25'), Lascelles (34')
Maupay (4' pen., 7'), Connolly (83')
Bissouma (89')
Jul 20, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 37
Brighton
0-0
Newcastle
Bissouma (23'), Gross (26'), Stephens (46'), Webster (87')
Ritchie (31'), Rose (63')
Sep 21, 2019 5.30pm
Apr 27, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Brighton
1-1
Newcastle
Gross (75')
Andone (11'), Bissouma (78')
Perez (18')
Dummett (25'), Ritchie (45'), Muto (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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