Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 70.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Lille |
11.4% ( -1.3) | 17.87% ( 0.33) | 70.73% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 48.18% ( -5.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.08% ( -5.06) | 41.92% ( 5.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.67% ( -5.28) | 64.32% ( 5.28) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.9% ( -5.46) | 46.1% ( 5.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.2% ( -4.57) | 81.8% ( 4.56) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.39% ( -1.11) | 10.61% ( 1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.59% ( -2.55) | 34.41% ( 2.55) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.35) Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.4% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 1.03) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.65) Other @ 0.79% Total : 17.87% | 0-2 @ 12.3% ( 1.61) 0-1 @ 10.97% ( 1.88) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 9.2% ( 0.81) 1-3 @ 7.13% ( -0.43) 0-4 @ 5.16% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 4% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.64) 0-5 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.79% ( -0.3) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.45) Other @ 4.01% Total : 70.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |