Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Troyes |
52.46% ( 0.02) | 24.97% ( -0.01) | 22.56% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.29% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.25% ( 0.04) | 52.74% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.62% ( 0.03) | 74.38% ( -0.04) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% ( 0.02) | 20.09% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.66% ( 0.04) | 52.33% ( -0.04) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.68% ( 0.02) | 38.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.93% ( 0.02) | 75.07% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.46% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |