Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Nice |
22.65% ( 0.04) | 24.46% ( 0.03) | 52.9% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 50.92% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.36% ( -0.07) | 50.64% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.45% ( -0.06) | 72.54% ( 0.06) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.94% ( 0) | 37.06% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.15% ( 0) | 73.84% ( -0) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.9% ( -0.05) | 19.1% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.28% ( -0.09) | 50.71% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 22.65% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |