MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 09:38:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Brest logo

Troyes
2 - 2
Brest

Ripart (34'), Lopes (38')
Ripart (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lees-Melou (30'), Del Castillo (74' pen.)
Lees-Melou (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 2-0 Troyes
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-2 PSG
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 0-0 Brest

Given the current state of affairs at the bottom end of the Ligue 1 table, we expect Troyes and Brest to produce a cagey encounter on Sunday, with a goalless draw looking like the most probable outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
TroyesDrawBrest
33.86% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 28.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 37.67% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.95% (-0.319 -0.32)60.05% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.72% (-0.242 -0.24)80.28% (0.246 0.25)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (-0.212 -0.21)33.18% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (-0.236 -0.24)69.79% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)30.73% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01% (-0.202 -0.2)66.99% (0.205 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 33.85%
    Brest 37.67%
    Draw 28.46%
TroyesDrawBrest
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.85%
1-1 @ 13.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.19% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 12.03% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.67%

How you voted: Troyes vs Brest

Troyes
39.0%
Draw
46.3%
Brest
14.6%
41
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Brest
2-1
Troyes
Del Castillo (55' pen.), Mounie (77' pen.)
Chardonnet (60' og.)
Kouame (34')
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Brest
5-1
Troyes
Satriano (7', 27'), Honorat (49', 67'), Mounie (82')
Agoume (15'), Der Zakarian (66')
Rami (45')
Tardieu (43')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Troyes
1-1
Brest
Rami (80')
Kabore (13'), Moulin (13')
Honorat (5')
Herelle (22'), Mounie (54')
Jan 12, 2019 2pm
Brest
1-1
Troyes
Autret (38')
Larsonneur (56'), Belaud (71'), Autret (72'), N'Goma (90')
Weber (90')
Mbeumo (51')
Marcel (74'), Obiang (75')
Obiang (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG332110279334673
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice33159938271154
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille3312111050401047
9Rennes331210115244846
10Reims33128134046-644
11Toulouse331110124243-143
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!