Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 79.58%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Angers had a probability of 7.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for an Angers win it was 1-2 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Angers |
79.58% ( -0.04) | 13.09% ( 0.03) | 7.32% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.84% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.93% ( -0.06) | 32.06% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.36% ( -0.07) | 53.64% ( 0.08) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.69% ( -0.02) | 6.3% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.27% ( -0.06) | 23.72% ( 0.06) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.13% ( 0) | 47.87% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.86% ( -0) | 83.13% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Angers |
2-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 79.57% | 1-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 13.09% | 1-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 7.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |