Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lille |
32.07% ( 0.01) | 23.53% ( 0) | 44.39% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.21% ( -0.01) | 39.79% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.85% ( -0.01) | 62.14% ( 0.01) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( 0) | 24.3% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( 0) | 58.68% ( 0) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.74% ( -0.01) | 18.26% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.69% ( -0.02) | 49.31% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lille |
2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.07% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 44.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |