Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 79.41%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.98%) and 1-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Ajaccio |
79.41% ( -0.03) | 14.03% ( 0.04) | 6.56% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 40.45% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.65% ( -0.17) | 40.35% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.27% ( -0.17) | 62.73% ( 0.17) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.86% ( -0.05) | 8.14% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.45% ( -0.12) | 28.55% ( 0.12) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.04% ( -0.12) | 55.96% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.55% ( -0.07) | 88.45% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Ajaccio |
2-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 79.41% | 1-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 14.03% | 0-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 6.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |