Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
48.1% ( 0.01) | 23.31% ( -0) | 28.59% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.55% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.36% ( 0.01) | 40.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.97% ( 0.01) | 63.02% ( -0.01) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.87% ( 0.01) | 17.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.64% ( 0.02) | 47.36% ( -0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% ( -0) | 26.93% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.74% ( -0) | 62.26% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.1% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.05% Total : 28.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |