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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Montpellier

Ajaccio
0 - 1
Montpellier


Youssouf (5'), Gonzalez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wahi (68')
Nordin (32'), Savanier (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 0-2 Montpellier HSC

Ajaccio are desperate for points in their bid to climb out of the bottom four, but Montpellier are full of confidence under their new boss, and we see them putting another victory on the board on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawMontpellier HSC
41.1% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08) 27.91% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 31% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.17% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.39% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)58.61% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)79.17% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)28.03% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)63.68% (0.106 0.11)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55%34.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.17% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 41.09%
    Montpellier HSC 31%
    Draw 27.9%
AjaccioDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 41.09%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.66% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 31%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Montpellier

Ajaccio
20.0%
Draw
15.6%
Montpellier HSC
64.4%
45
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 6pm
Oct 28, 2014 7pm
Third Round
Montpellier
0-1
Ajaccio
Madri (44')
Abergel (37')
Feb 22, 2014 7pm
Montpellier
2-0
Ajaccio
Mounier (55'), Cabella (90')
Deplagne (76')

Tonucci (82')
Sep 29, 2013 4pm
Ajaccio
1-1
Montpellier
Zubar (36')
Zubar (24'), Popescu (56')
Goncalves (9')
Cabella (10' pen.)
Jebbour (18'), Camara (62')
Jebbour (38')
Apr 27, 2013 7pm
Ajaccio
2-1
Montpellier
Oliech (90'), Delorte (82' pen.)
Mutu (17'), Lasne (73')
Diawara (47')
Mounier (56')
Belhanda (60')
El Kaoutari (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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