Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 82.85%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
6.38% ( -0) | 10.76% ( 0) | 82.85% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.93% ( -0.02) | 23.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.65% ( -0.02) | 42.35% ( 0.02) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.96% ( -0.02) | 43.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.67% ( -0.01) | 79.33% ( 0.01) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.95% ( -0.01) | 4.04% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.98% ( -0.01) | 17.01% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 6.38% | 1-1 @ 4.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.18% 0-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 10.76% | 0-3 @ 9.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 8.07% 0-4 @ 7.68% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-5 @ 4.93% 1-5 @ 4.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-6 @ 2.64% 1-6 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-7 @ 1.21% ( -0) 1-7 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-6 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.98% Total : 82.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |