Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 82.54%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 6.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
82.54% | 11.16% | 6.3% |
Both teams to score 51.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.14% | 25.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.95% | 46.05% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.41% | 4.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.28% | 18.72% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.29% | 45.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.51% | 81.49% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
3-0 @ 10.24% 2-0 @ 9.96% 3-1 @ 8.02% 4-0 @ 7.9% 2-1 @ 7.8% 1-0 @ 6.46% 4-1 @ 6.18% 5-0 @ 4.87% 5-1 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 3.14% 6-0 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 2.42% 6-1 @ 1.96% 5-2 @ 1.49% 7-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.67% Total : 82.54% | 1-1 @ 5.06% 2-2 @ 3.05% 0-0 @ 2.09% Other @ 0.96% Total : 11.16% | 1-2 @ 1.98% 0-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.68% Total : 6.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |