Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Monaco |
24.31% ( -0.04) | 25.79% ( -0.03) | 49.9% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.81% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.67% ( 0.06) | 54.33% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.28% ( 0.05) | 75.72% ( -0.05) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.42% ( -0) | 37.58% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.64% ( -0) | 74.36% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.2% ( 0.06) | 21.8% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.99% ( 0.09) | 55.01% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.31% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |