MX23RW : Sunday, May 5 22:18:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Brest logo

Lorient
0 - 1
Brest


Dieng (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Del Castillo (86')
Lala (45+1'), Martin (76'), Brassier (80')
Brahimi (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lille
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Brest

While Brest have the third-best road record in Ligue 1 — and Lorient have the fourth-worst home return in the division — the Pirates' dearth of goals (16) in 13 away matches suggests Sunday's match will be tight. Nevertheless, Roy's team are adept against struggling clubs, pointing to a narrow victory for the second-placed side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
LorientDrawBrest
26.55% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.86% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 48.59% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (0.026999999999994 0.03)48.94% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (0.023 0.02)71.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (0.004999999999999 0)69.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (0.019000000000005 0.02)20.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)52.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 26.55%
    Brest 48.58%
    Draw 24.85%
LorientDrawBrest
1-0 @ 7.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 26.55%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.46% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-4 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.58%

How you voted: Lorient vs Brest

Lorient
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Brest
57.1%
28
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Brest
4-0
Lorient
Doumbia (22', 25', 29', 45+3')
Brassier (87')

Junior Kroupi (70'), Silva (86')
May 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
Lorient
2-1
Brest
Kone (32', 51')
Del Castillo (69' pen.)
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
1-2
Lorient
Moffi (24', 53')
Feb 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Brest
0-1
Lorient

Satriano (45+4'), Agoume (81')
Chardonnet (29')
Kone (73')
Innocent (43'), Lauriente (45'), Mendes (45+4'), Abergel (65')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lorient
1-2
Brest
Grbic (5')
Silva (76')
Hergault (28')
Faivre (58' pen.), Mounie (80')
Honorat (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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