Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Brest |
38.5% ( 0.35) | 27.98% ( -0.03) | 33.52% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 47.64% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.66% ( 0.05) | 58.35% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.04% ( 0.04) | 78.96% ( -0.04) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.62% ( 0.23) | 29.38% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.63% ( 0.28) | 65.37% ( -0.28) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.47% ( -0.19) | 32.53% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.93% ( -0.21) | 69.07% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.5% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |