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Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2020 at 7pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Derby logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 0
Derby

Assombalonga (33'), Clarke (71' og.), Johnson (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jozwiak (9'), Lawrence (49'), Byrne (53'), Buchanan (65')

The Match

Match Report

Boro recorded their biggest victory under boss Neil Warnock.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawDerby County
42.78%27.21%30.02%
Both teams to score 48.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63%56.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61%77.39%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92%26.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87%61.13%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01%33.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33%70.67%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 42.77%
    Derby County 30.02%
    Draw 27.2%
MiddlesbroughDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.57%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.02%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
2-0
Middlesbrough
Lawrence (22', 84')

McNair (15')
Saville (32')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Derby
1-1
Middlesbrough
Wilson (2')
Hugill (52')
Saville (45'), Besic (73')
Oct 27, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
1-1
Derby
Bogle (84' og.)
Ayala (90')
Friend (19' og.)
Waghorn (33')
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Derby
1-2
Middlesbrough
Nugent (90' pen.)
Nugent (16'), Huddlestone (36'), Hanson (85')
Besic (20'), Assombalonga (70')
Clayton (1'), Traore (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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