MX23RW : Friday, April 26 02:51:13| >> :120:56748:56748:
[monks data]
Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2020 at 7pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Derby logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 0
Derby

Assombalonga (33'), Clarke (71' og.), Johnson (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jozwiak (9'), Lawrence (49'), Byrne (53'), Buchanan (65')

Preview: Middlesbrough vs. Derby County - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Middlesbrough host struggling Derby County on Wednesday as the Rams look to turn their season around at the Riverside Stadium.

The hosts currently sit in eighth place in the table having narrowly lost out to Norwich City on Saturday, while Derby are still bottom of the league after their 1-0 loss against Bristol City.


Match preview

Boro boss Neil Warnock on September 11, 2020© Reuters

Middlesbrough's unbeaten run of 10 games came to an end at the weekend as they were undone by a late penalty by Teemu Pukki. It was also the first goal they had conceded in 452 minutes.

Boro were controversially denied their own penalty when Marcus Tavernier was adjudged to have made a double connection with the ball as he converted. Such is football, Norwich were handed a penalty soon after, and all of their possession was rewarded as they scored to take all three points.

Looking ahead to Derby, Boro will hope they can buck a trend of losses which means they are winless in their last four league meetings with Derby, since a 2-1 away win in April 2018.

As a manager, Neil Warnock's track record is not much better and he has only won one of his last 11 league meetings with Derby County, last winning with Cardiff in 2017.

Despite their unbeaten record, Middlesbrough are now without a win in three and will welcome a home fixture against the division's bottom side in the hope that they can get back to winning ways, and keep pace with the playoff-chasing pack.

Derby County's Lee Buchanan in action with Bristol City's Jamie Paterson and Jack Hunt on November 21, 2020© Reuters

Derby's woes continued as interim management led by Wayne Rooney and Liam Rosenior could not inspire a result away to Bristol City on Saturday.

Rooney impressed against City and will be key to Derby's recovery, both on and off the pitch. Rams fans will also be buoyed by his ability to hurt Boro, with six goal involvements in his last six league matches against the Smoggies.

The Riverside has not always been a happy hunting ground for Derby, after a run saw them lose nine of 10 league visits to Middlesbrough between 2001 and 2016, but they are unbeaten in their last three and will be desperate to extend that run.

Derby have not won away in five games, with their last victory - and only win of the season - coming against Norwich City.

Middlesbrough Championship form: DWWDDL

Derby County Championship form: DDDLLL


Team News

Britt Assombalonga celebrates scoring for Middlesbrough with James Tavernier on July 22, 2020© Reuters

Britt Assombalonga could return to the starting lineup on Wednesday night having sat out the last two and will be keen to add to the three goals he has scored against Derby to date.

After no goals in three games, Warnock may look to shuffle his pack in order to ignite his attacking line. The seemingly out-of-favour Patrick Roberts could be selected. Alternatively, Chuba Akpom could partner Assombalonga to bolster Boro's attacking options.

Grant Hall is nearing full fitness and could feature as Warnock looks to reintroduce the recent signing back into the fold.

For Derby, defender Krystian Bielik was not involved in the matchday squad for Derby's 1-0 loss on Saturday afternoon, but could return.

Youngster Jahmal Hector-Ingram is also pushing for a start after Rosenior admitted he was close to starting away to Bristol City, after impressing in training.

Middlesbrough possible starting lineup:
Bettinelli; Dijksteel, Fry, McNair; Bola, Howson, Saville, Tavernier, Spence; Coulson, Assombalonga

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Marshall; Wisdom, Davies, Clarke, Forsyth; Bird, Shinnie; Waghorn, Rooney, Holmes; Hector-Ingram


SM words green background

We say: Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby County

Goals could be hard to come by on Tuesday night, with Derby likely to try and keep it tight for large periods. The onus will be on a blunt Boro attack to stamp their authority on the game, but we suspect they will find a way to overcome the opposition.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


ID:423441: cacheID:423441:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:8817:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Middlesbrough manager Neil Warnock pictured on November 7, 2020
Read Next:
Neil Warnock launches scathing attack on officials following Norwich loss
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
10am
Bublik
Carballes Baena
10am
Marozsan
Cerundolo
10am
Musetti
Seyboth Wild
10am
Paul
Klein
10am
Rublev
Bagnis
10am
Andreeva
Noskova
10am
Bronzetti
Rybakina
10am
Garcia
Wang
10am
Pavlyuchenkova
Saville
11.30am
Altmaier
Fils
11.30am
Martin Etcheverry
Shapovalov
11.30am
Alexandrova
Krueger
11.30am
Bucsa
Kasatkina
11.30am
Dolehide
Kalinina
11.30am
Jimenez Kasintseva
Paolini
11.30am
Linette
Sabalenka
1pm
Baez
Van Assche
1pm
Hurkacz
Draper
1pm
Bejlek
Kalinskaya
1pm
Cristian
Krejcikova
1pm
Kostyuk
Sherif
2pm
Zheng
Putintseva
2.30pm
Humbert
Van De Zandschulp
2.30pm
Darderi
Fritz
2.30pm
Boulter
Montgomery
3pm
Shevchenko
Alcaraz
3.30pm
Vondrousova
Rogers
4pm
Griekspoor
Daniel
4pm
Munar
Struff
5pm
Navone
Rune
7pm
Coric
Zverev
8.30pm
Collins
Danilovic
11.30am
Shang
Davidovich Fokina
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester443041086394794
2Leeds UnitedLeeds44279880374390
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
18Queens Park RangersQPR441311204157-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!