Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
