Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 76.88%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 8.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.52%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Spezia |
76.88% | 14.78% | 8.33% |
Both teams to score 47.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.14% | 36.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.96% | 59.04% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.1% | 7.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.06% | 27.94% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.12% | 48.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.14% | 83.86% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 12.43% 3-0 @ 10.52% 1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 7.54% 4-0 @ 6.68% 4-1 @ 4.79% 5-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-1 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.71% 6-0 @ 1.44% 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.5% Total : 76.86% | 1-1 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 3.86% 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.72% Total : 14.78% | 0-1 @ 2.76% 1-2 @ 2.51% 0-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.07% Total : 8.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |