Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
San Siro
AC Milan3 - 1Roma
We said: AC Milan 2-1 Roma
Milan average over two goals per game in the league this term, and have a number of their attacking stars back in action for Serie A's resumption. They can, therefore, take advantage of the defensive flaws that undermine Roma outside of the capital and cope with some important absentees; starting 2022 with a morale-boosting win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
| 47.64% | 23.63% | 28.73% |
| Both teams to score 59.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
