Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
51.98% | 22.79% | 25.24% |
Both teams to score 59.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.13% | 40.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.74% | 63.27% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.18% | 15.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.02% | 44.99% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% | 29.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% | 65.5% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.98% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-1 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.22% Total : 25.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |