Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
33.74% | 24.87% | 41.38% |
Both teams to score 57.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.47% | 45.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.14% | 67.86% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.94% | 26.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.9% | 61.1% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.02% | 21.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.72% | 55.28% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 7.85% 1-0 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.33% Total : 33.74% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-1 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |