Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
51.59% ( -0.44) | 24.65% ( 0.07) | 23.76% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 51.61% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.63% ( 0.05) | 50.37% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.69% ( 0.04) | 72.31% ( -0.04) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.48% ( -0.16) | 19.51% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.6% ( -0.25) | 51.4% ( 0.25) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.12% ( 0.36) | 35.88% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.34% ( 0.36) | 72.66% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |