Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
54.62% ( -0.31) | 23.27% ( 0.13) | 22.12% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.74% ( -0.33) | 46.26% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.45% ( -0.31) | 68.55% ( 0.31) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.17% ( -0.23) | 16.83% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.19% ( -0.41) | 46.81% ( 0.41) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.89% ( -0.01) | 35.11% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.14% ( -0.01) | 71.86% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.62% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 22.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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