Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
45.01% ( -0.26) | 24.86% ( -0.02) | 30.13% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 56.22% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.22% ( 0.23) | 46.78% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.96% ( 0.22) | 69.04% ( -0.22) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% ( -0.02) | 20.84% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.48% ( -0.03) | 53.52% ( 0.03) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.02% ( 0.32) | 28.98% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.12% ( 0.39) | 64.88% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.01% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |