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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Chaves
2 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Obiora (52'), Teixeira (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bernardo (33'), Peixoto (34'), Antunes (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+4')
Bernardo (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Chaves
Monday, May 8 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira

Pacos de Ferreira have seen their Primeira Liga status come under threat as they find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table. Chaves, meanwhile, have picked up an impressive late-season form and we are backing them to come out on top on Saturday as they push for the Europa Conference League ticket. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chaves in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chaves.

Result
ChavesDrawPacos de Ferreira
44.91% (-0.242 -0.24) 26.15% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 28.94% (0.289 0.29)
Both teams to score 51.37% (0.314 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (0.325 0.33)52.78% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (0.276 0.28)74.41% (-0.277 -0.28)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.023999999999987 0.02)23.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (0.035000000000004 0.04)57.42% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.39 0.39)32.92% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (0.43 0.43)69.5% (-0.431 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 44.91%
    Pacos de Ferreira 28.94%
    Draw 26.15%
ChavesDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 11.19% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 44.91%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.94%

How you voted: Chaves vs Pacos de Ferreira

Chaves
100%
Draw
0.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 15
Pacos de Ferreira
1-1
Chaves
Uilton (75')
Uilton (4'), Carlos (17'), Delgado (26'), Antunes (28'), Holsgrove (53'), de Brito Gonzaga (55')
Juninho (67')
Abass (29'), Teixeira (37'), Sylla (83'), Langa (89'), Vitor (90+1')
Mar 31, 2018 4pm
Nov 5, 2017 4pm
Chaves
4-2
Pacos de Ferreira
Maras (34'), Platiny (49', 68'), Jorginho (84')
Tiba (35'), Patrao (61'), Platiny (78')
Welthon (6'), Gois (70')
da Silva (76'), Gois (86')
Mar 31, 2017 7pm
Chaves
1-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Gege (41' og.)
Ponck (81'), Nunes (91')

Melo (15'), dos Santos (76'), Rodrigues (87')
Nov 5, 2016 4pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-1
Chaves
Pedrinho (80')
Joao Costa Baixinho (15'), Da Silva (84')
Battaglia (55')
Martins (48'), Battaglia (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
10Casa Pia3198143344-1135
11SC FarenseFarense3197154244-234
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora31611143249-1729
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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