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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Southampton logo

Burnley
2 - 0
Southampton

Roberts (12'), Collins (44')
Cork (38'), Tarkowski (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bednarek (73'), Perraud (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Burnley 1-1 Southampton

The Clarets and the Saints played out a 2-2 draw at St Mary's earlier this season, and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Thursday. The pressure is all on relegation-threatened Burnley to claim maximum points on home soil, but we expect Hasenhuttl's side to frustrate the hosts and secure a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawSouthampton
28.76%25.45%45.79%
Both teams to score 53.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97%50.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99%72.01%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38%31.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97%68.04%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16%21.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93%55.07%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 28.76%
    Southampton 45.78%
    Draw 25.45%
BurnleyDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 7.95%
2-1 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.03%
3-0 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.76%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.2%
0-2 @ 7.99%
1-3 @ 4.67%
0-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.78%

How you voted: Burnley vs Southampton

Burnley
34.7%
Draw
21.7%
Southampton
43.7%
277
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Southampton
2-2
Burnley
Livramento (41'), Broja (50')
Elyounoussi (81')
Cornet (13', 57')
Cork (42'), Rodriguez (70'), Westwood (72')
Apr 4, 2021 12pm
Southampton
3-2
Burnley
Armstrong (31'), Ings (42'), Redmond (66')
Wood (12' pen.), Vydra (28')
Sep 26, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham37128175159-844
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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