Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
40.33% ( -0.44) | 23.83% ( 0.12) | 35.83% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 61.94% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.81% ( -0.56) | 40.18% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.44% ( -0.58) | 62.55% ( 0.57) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.81% ( -0.44) | 20.18% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.51% ( -0.7) | 52.48% ( 0.7) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% ( -0.09) | 22.39% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.09% ( -0.14) | 55.9% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.02% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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